Showing posts with label English Premier League. Show all posts
Showing posts with label English Premier League. Show all posts

Thursday, 13 September 2012

Premier League Week 4-Preview and prediction (Norwich v West Ham)

With the recent international games the Premier League has been on a bit of a hiatus though returns this weekend as Norwich host West Ham in the early kick off. Whilst it's not a headline game it will likely be seen as a huge 6 pointer with both teams expected to be battling relegation and one that is almost certainly worth some interest from football fans.

Whilst expectation at Norwich was low, following the loss of manager Paul Lambert (who went to Villa) it's fair to say that the Canaries haven't actually done that badly. Whilst they were slaughtered on the opening day (losing 5-0 at Fulham) they have held their own with both QPR and most recently Tottenham (drawing both of those games 1-1) as they have earned both their first home and away points of the season.

Despite having conceded 7 goals so far this season Norwich's big problem seems to be up front where they lack a true goal scorer, instead having an attack built up of various threats as opposed to an out and out threat. The likes of Grant Holt will bag goals but will struggle to find the target on a regular basis however Robert Snodgrass (who looked sensational in his last match for the club) will create chances for the attacking line.

With Chris Hughton looking to hit the ground running following the internationals Norwich could pose a threat here, but only if they can get in the goals against a West Ham team that look unwilling to give many away (with only Swansea having scored against West Ham this season). This is the problem, Norwich can't score and West Ham don't really concede, in Norwich win it'll only be by a single goal.

Last year Norwich were very average at home, but they were an average team. Their Premier League position of 12th overall was a solid mid-table finish and their home form was reflective of that with 27 home points from their 19 home games (surprisingly the same as Liverpool).

Last time out (a fortnight ago!) West Ham looked excellent in defeating Fulham 3-0 with the Fulham defensive lining looking completely unable to cope with the West Ham attack. Sadly however the forefront of that attack was Andy Carroll who will be absent (due to injury) from this game leaving the West Ham attack looking like a bit of a rag-tag collection. Whilst Kevin Nolan will get goals he's not a pure goal scorer, Ricardo Vaz Te has goals in him but seems to lack Premier League class and Carlton Cole is a joke even amongst West Ham fans. The loss of Carroll (after just 1 game) is genuinely huge.

At the back West Ham have been solid conceding just 3 goals so far this season (in 3 Premier League games) though notably all 3 goals came in their only previous away fixture. This is a stark contract to their form last season where defensively they were rock solid away from home (conceding just 22 away goals in 23 games) and slightly less secure at home (29 goals conceded). If we were to look at last season's numbers however we'd have to favour West Ham here on the back of 13 away wins however was that in the championship, not in the Premier League.

Whilst there is Premier League quality running through the West Ham squad there are questions about the depth of the squad and the absence of Carroll really does bring that issue up. Players like Nolan, Matt Jarvis and Yossi Benayoun can all grab goals and show sparks of something extra but the squad looks like it's only ever going to be 2 injuries away from a crisis.

Kick-Off: 12:45
Prediction: 1-1


Expected Line Ups:

Norwich-Ruddy, Bassong, Garrido, R.Martin, Barnett, Johnson, Howson, Snodgrass, Holt, Morrison (4-4-2)

West Ham-
Jääskeläinen, Demel, Reid, Collins, Tomkins, Diamé, Benayoun, Nolan, Vaz Te, Taylor, Cole (4-3-3)


Notes:Norwich have the same amount of points (2) as they had after the same amount of games (3) last season.
West Ham have only lost 2 of their last 24 competitive fixtures (one of those being their 3-0 loss to Swansea)

Players to watch out for-
Norwich:
Robert Snodgrass
-Talented Scot Robert Snodgrass looked very out of sorts on the opening day of the season though has looked like the key to everything Norwich have done in their most recent Premier League matches. He looks like he's going to be the driving force going forward for the Canaries and whilst he may not be an out and out goalscorer himself he will create chances for others as well as bagging a fair few himself. He really is the key to the attack.
John Ruddy-Goalkeeper John Rudd started the season with a nightmare at Fulham however he has been very good since then. Whilst he hasn't kept a clean sheet this season he's a very under-rated keeper and is doing a fine job behind a weak defense. He may not have a lot to do here, but he will need to keep his concentration.

West Ham:
Kevin Nolan
-The West Ham Captain is their key player and most of what they do goes through him. Nolan is the driving force behind West Ham so the Norwich defense and Midfield will look to keep Nolan from exerting his force on the game. Whilst he's the West Ham Midfield general he's also a threat in front of goal and has already bagged himself some goals this season and will be high on confidence going into this match.
Matt Jarvis-The former Wolves Winger Matt Jarvis has that level of of class that sees him not only able to open up the defense but also create a shed load of chances. Whilst Andy Carroll will be missing Jarvis will be able to look up and find either Carlton Cole or Kevin Nolan in the penalty area giving him some solid targets to aim for in attack.

Friday, 24 August 2012

Premier League Week 2-Preview and prediction (Chelsea v Newcastle)

The late kick-off on Saturday promises to be a treat to all football fans as the European Champions Chelsea play their 3rd game inside a week to take on the very promising Newcastle United, who interestingly finished above Chelsea last season. Both teams have made solid starts to the season and both teams currently posses unbeaten records though which team will come out on top on Saturday?

Chelsea kicked off their season almost 2 weeks ago in a losing effort against Manchester City in the Community Shield, though started their league season a day later than most with their opening Premier League fixture taking place last Sunday as they took home 3 points following a 2-0 win against Wigan at the DW Stadium. Chelsea moved to the top of the table on Wednesday in the first midweek game of the season as they scraped past Reading by the very flattering scoreline of 4-2.

Despite being top of the league with 6 points from 2 games Chelsea haven't looked sensational, in fact they've looked rather flat for large portions of their 2 matches with only new signing Eden Hazard and Branislav Ivanovic really looking threatening. Fernando Torres has looked off colour, Juan Mata appears to have completely forgotten his shooting boots and Frank Lampard has only looked like scoring from the penalty spot (which luckily for him he's had  2 chances from). Whilst they haven't been great they've been bagging the points and at the end of the day that's what matters.

Roberto Di Matteo will be wanting much more from his players here than he's seen from them so far this season and he'll be expecting them to step up a gear against a Newcastle team who will be looking to repeat last season's successes. With 2 goals conceded against Reading he'll worry just as much about their defense as attack, especially John Terry who looked off the pace against Jobi McAnuff in midweek. If they can tighten at the back and play from the defense they should just about nick this, but that hasn't been Chelsea's way in recent seasons as they've instead played attacking football often at the expense of defensive stability.

Like Chelsea, Newcastle have gotten off to a perfect start with a maximum 3 points from their opening game, a 2-1 victory over Tottenham Hotspur. Also like Chelsea, Newcastle didn't really perform against Spurs, in fact it's probably fair to say that Newcastle were the lesser team though they took their chances and secured the points.

Under Alan Pardew Newcastle have become a real threat to the Champions League places and will be looking to improve up on last season's 5th place. Sadly for them their 5th place finish last year may come back to haunt them here with the team having played in Athens on Thursday to face Atromitos in the Europa League. Having traveled to Greece and back in the past few days the players have really not been given a rest and they may very well look exhausted on Saturday. Added to the exhaustion of 2 games in 3 days they will also be with out 4 key players (Fabricio Coloccini, Demba Ba, Cheick Tiote and Shola Ameobi) who will all undergo late fitness tests.

Though the Magpies may have a number of fitness issues they have the a solid team and a manager who has them well drilled. Many of the players will also have memories of the same fixture last season, a match that Newcastle won 2-0 thanks to a brace by Papiss Cisse. In fact interestingly Newcastle's form at Stamford Bridge in recent years has been genuinely excellent with 2 wins and 2 draws in their last 4 games there.

Whilst Chelsea go in as a deserving favourite (4/7) they will know they are in for a game. It's, like I said earlier, their 3rd game inside a week and they are having a number of fitness issues themselves, including John Terry and new signing Marko Marin. With David Luiz expected to fill in for Terry, Newcastle may well see the opportunity to bag a goal or two for themselves. Sadly for the Newcastle fans Chelsea have a lot of quality up front and will likely fancy their chances to score more than they concede. I expect this will see both teams scoring, though Chelsea will likely grab a very hard fought win.

Prediction-2-1 Chelsea
Kick Off-17:30


Expected Line Ups:
Chelsea-

Cech, Cole, Ivanovic, Luis, Cahill, Lampard, Mikel, Ramires, Hazard, Mata, Torres (4-3-2-1)

Newcastle-
Krul, Simpson, Perch, S Taylor, Santon, Ben Arfa, Tiote, Cabaye, Gutierrez, Ba, Cisse (4-4-2)

Notes-Dependent on results earlier in the day, Chelsea could start this match top of the Premier League thanks it being their 3rd league game inside a week.
Newcastle's 1-1 draw with Atromitos on Thursday has caused them to play 2 games in 3 days having had to travel to Greece and back since their last Premier League fixture.
Surprisingly Newcastle defeated Chelsea at Stamford Bridge in the league last season whilst Chelsea managed to defeat Newcastle at St James' Park.
Chelsea have scored a penalty in every Premier League game, in fact Lampard has scored a penalty in Chelsea's 2 Premier League games so far due to fouls on Eden Hazard and Branislav Ivanovic has also scored in every Chelsea Premier League game so far.
Every Premier League game featuring one of these two teams has had a penalty.

Players to watch-
Chelsea:
Eden Hazard
-The Belgian has been pretty much the key to all of Chelsea's attacks so far this season and he may well be looking to pull the strings once again against a Newcastle defense who, whilst sturdy are nothing spectacular at the back, especially not if Coloccini is absent. Whilst he's yet to score in the Premier League he has created many of Chelsea's chances and also been the player taken out for Chelsea's two penalties so far.
Fernando Torres-It's only a matter of time before Torres gets back to regular goal scoring and whilst he did score against Reading in midweek he didn't look himself and he did need a helping hand from a poor decision by a linesman. It seems to be a confidence thing and hopefully the goal on Wednesday will help him regain.

Newcastle:
Hatem Ben Arfa-
Attacking Midfielder Ben Arfa is one of the stand out players in the Newcastle squad and can do it all. If he gets on the ball expect the Chelsea defense, especially David Luiz, to make mistakes. Able to shoot, dribble and pass excellently he's a true threat both with his own shots and with his creative passing which could help open up the Chelsea defense at any time.
Tim Krul-This may seem like a weird choice but the Newcastle goalkeeper certainly appears to be one of the players that will need watching here. I expect he will be tested more than just once or twice and he will need to put on an excellent performance if Newcastle are going to get anything from the match.

Tuesday, 21 August 2012

Premier League Week 1-Preview and prediction (Wednesday)

The Premier League season may just have kicked off but we're already on the eve of our first midweek game as prospective title contenders Chelsea face off against the recently promoted Reading, with both teams knowing a win will take them to the top of the table.

On the opening day of the season Reading looked rather toothless for much of their game as they struggled to a 1-1 draw with Stoke, thanks in part to Dean Whitehead getting sent off and conceding a penalty late. The extra man advantage suddenly seemed to charge Reading up and despite their being only minutes of the match left they looked to be a team who had cast of the shackles.

Just a day later Chelsea managed to earn three 3 points away to Wigan after an excellent start going 1-0 up inside 2 minutes before bagging a second just minutes later as they looked almost certain to rout the Latics. Instead of bagging more goals however Chelsea went into their shells and just sat back allowing Wigan to play themselves into the game. Despite their timid performance after taking an early lead Chelsea did have positives to take from the match, mainly the showing by new signing Eden Hazard who worried the Wigan defense every time he had the ball.

Despite having had an extra days rest however it'll be very hard to favour Reading who will be going into the lions den against a Chelsea team who will almost certainly want to not only climb to the top of the league but put on a performance for their own fans at Stamford Bridge in their first home fixture of the season.

At the home last year Chelsea were defensively poor conceding 24 home goals (11th worst home defence) though they often found ways to win by simply out scoring their opponents racking up an impressive 41 home goals (3rd most) to give them 39 home points (5th most). In fact the combined 65 goals scored at Stamford Bridge was the 3rd most goals at a single ground  in the Premier League last season (behind only Old Trafford-71 and the Etihad-67) giving fans plenty of action to watch.

Against Reading I don't see the Chelsea defense being pushed too hard, the performance against stoke was less than threatening and on last years form Reading really aren't a great threat away from home. Despite scoring 33 away goals (5th most in the Championship) last season they netted 14 of those in 4 games (with 4 against West Ham, 4 against Barnsley, 3 against Southampton and 3 against Bristol City) meaning in the other 19 away games they netted an average of once per game. Though Reading's strong point away from home, and what helped win them 13 away games (tied most with West Ham in the Champion) was their away defence which conceded just 23 goals in 23 games (the 2nd best behind West Ham).

What we have here then is a very strong offensive team in Chelsea who will attack, especially at home, against a strong defensive team in Reading who will likely only play with one out and out attacker giving them little threat up front. Though the bigger point isn't about last years stats but more about the mentality of the Reading players. We know Chelsea's players, on the whole, have international pedigree, with the technical ability to really play Reading off the pitch. With the likes of Lampard and Hazard pulling the strings behind Torres it could well be a difficult night for Reading who will find themselves under a lot of pressure. How will Reading cope with not getting much of the ball? How well drilled are they? And most importantly, are they capable of taking a chance if they get one?

For me the key here is whether or not Reading can shut down the service Chelsea will try to provide to Torres. If they can stop the likes of Hazard, Lampard, Ivanovic and Cole from playing in the Chelsea hitman it could prove to be a fruitless night for the Blues. Sadly for the Royals I genuinely can't see them holding out for 90 minutes against a very threatening Chelsea attack which despite only playing a single Striker has goal threats from every where on the pitch. Lampard, as we know can bang them in, Ivanaovic, as he showed on Sunday is a threat, Torres, Hazard and Oscar are all solid in front of goal and Terry is a serious threat from set Pieces.

Whilst Reading do have goals in them through Adam le Fondre and Pavel Pogrebyank in open play and Ian Harte from set pieces I don't imagine they will have enough of the ball to threaten Petr Cech in what could be a steep learning curve.

Kick off-19:45
Prediction 3-0

Expected Line Ups:
Chelsea-

Cech, Ivanovic, Cahill, Terry, Cole, Mikel, Lampard, Bertrand, Hazard, Oscar, Torres (4-2-3-1)

Reading-
Federici, Gunter, Harte, Gorkss, Pearce, Guthrie, Leigertwood, McAnuff, McCleary, Le Fondre, Pogrebnyak (4-4-1-1)

Notes:
Chelsea's new signings Eden Hazard and Oscar are expected to both make their home debut's for the Blues who are expected to start Mata on the bench so as to start Oscar.
Whilst no new injury worries have come up for Reading Jimmy Kebe still hasn't returned to the team and isn't expected back for several weeks.
This will be Chelsea's 2nd game of 3 inside a week as they start the Premier League with a relatively hectic schedule.
As a sub story to the game expect the comparisons between Chelsea owner Roman Abramovich and Reading's owner Anton Zingarevich to at least get a mention on TV and Radio

Players to watch out for-
Chelsea:
Fernando Torres-
The Spanish Striker looked like he was slowly getting back to his best at the end of last season and again at Euro 2010 where he claimed the Golden Boot. Whilst not at his most impressive against Wigan he is a serious threat and seems to be getting more confident. With the service he is likely to get it's hard to imagine him not getting at least one chance here.
Eden Hazard-New signing Eden Hazard look excellent on the ball against Wigan and whilst he went down far too easily he seems to have the innate ability to open defenses up at will. Against Reading I can can imagine him creating chances left right and centre as he looks to justify his hefty price tag.

Reading-
Adam Federici-Despite effectively giving Stoke their goal on Saturday the Australian Keeper is a very reliable keeper and will be looking to put the blunder behind him as he faces Chelsea's fearsome attacking line. Whether Reading fan's like it or not Federici will be a busy man in goal.
Kaspars Gorkšs-The defensive stalwart will need to show why he is so highly rated by Reading fans as he attempts to organise the Reading defense as well as neutralise the Chelsea task. The Latvian was incredible in the Championship last year and will need to step up here. If Gorkšs has a bad game this could be hugely embarrassing for Reading.

Monday, 20 August 2012

Premier League-Team of the Week, Week 1

So we've now had the first round of matches and we've had a chance to see all the teams in action, however who were the best players from the week we've just had?

Goalkeeper-David De Gea (Manchester United)
The Spaniard may not have kept a clean sheet against Everton but Manchester United's young keeper managed to keep the Toffee's down to just a single goal in an outstanding performance that saw him making 3 or 4 fantastic saves.

Defence-Sylvian Distin (Everton)

Everton's Sylvain Distin may not have gotten the plaudits due to the performance of team mate Marouane Fellaini (also selected for the tam of the week) but he was a rock and thwarted United time and time again.

Defence-Branislav Ivanovic (Chelsea)
Serbian Branislav Ivanovic was one Chelsea's stand out players in their 2-0 victory at Wigan. His threat going forward, which resulted in the opening goal was tremendous and his work at the back in helping Chelsea keep a clean sheet was vital, a real stand out performance.

Defence-James Collins (West Ham)
West Ham's resigning of James Collins looks like a a steal having cost less than £3 million and his performance against former team Aston Villa was almost flawless as the West Ham defense completely neutralised the Villa attack.

Defence-John Arne Riise (Fulham)

The veteran defender was a star at the back for Fulham playing not only brilliantly to defend his teams goal (something that was rarely required) but playing some of the most delightful diagonal balls we saw over the opening weekend.

Midfield-Marouane Fellaini (Everton)

The Belgian Midfielder gave Manchester United a headache linking play between attack and defence amazingly well and capped off an excellent performance with a stunning header to secure Everton the win.

Midfield-Samir Nasri (Manchester City)

The talented Frenchman did everything a manager could ask of an attack minded midfielder as he ran Southampton ragged before scoring the winning goal in the game of the weekend. Nasri could have assisted in any number of goals had the strikers been able to finish off the chances he created.

Midfield-Nathan Dyer (Swansea)
The Swans had an incredible match and whilst Michu stole the headlines Dyer was a close second, bagging two himself as the two men really abused the QPR midfield and defense. If Dyer can perform like this week in and week out he should be expecting an England call up before the year is out.

Midfield-Michu (Swansea City)
Swansea's City's signing of Michu appears to have been as master-stroke as the Spaniard made an immediate impression on the Premier League bagging 2 goals creating another in Swansea's demolition job over QPR.

Attack-Santi Cazorla (Arsenal)

Arsenal's Spanish debutant Santi Cazorla made an excellent start to his Premier League Career doing everything but scoring as he ran Sunderland ragged in a truly wonderful performance. Cazorla looks very special on this performance.

Attack-Mladen Petric (Fulham)
Like Michu (see above) Mladen Petric got off to the dream start to his Premier League career bagging 2 goals in his debut as Fulham routed Norwich 5-0. To add to his goals Petric also played a major part in the goal by Alexander Kacaniklic.

Manager of the Week-Michael Laudrup
Whilst Martin Jol may feel he deserved the plaudits due to the performance of his team, it's hard not to feel that the Michael Laudrup just out did him. Laudrup took over a Swansea City who had lost their manager (Brendon Rodgers) and star player (Joe Allen) over summer but yet put on a performance that seemed to suggest that they are now Laudrup's team.